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Use a binomial tree to value to following option. Assume rf = 0.045, rp = 0.14, σ = 0.20, E(CF1) = $62 million, g = 0.03, time horizon = 2 years, binomial period = 1 year, and cost = $500 million. What is the value of this project option?


A) $47 million
B) $57 million
C) $67 million
D) $77 million

E) B) and C)
F) A) and C)

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The phrase in real option theory used to replace the strike price?


A) Exercise
B) Investment
C) PV of asset
D) Trend

E) A) and B)
F) None of the above

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If we continue to consider the $80 annual cost, but are able to avoid operating in years where money will be lost, what is the expected risk neutral cash flow in year 2?


A) $2.12
B) $14.36
C) $80.00
D) $82.12

E) A) and D)
F) A) and C)

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The price of oil is $45 per barrel. The effective lease rate and risk free rate are 3.0% and 4.0%, respectively. The constant cost of extraction is $25 per barrel and the volatility of prices is 15.0%. If an untapped well costs $240 to open and can produce indefinitely, at what price per barrel should the well be opened?


A) $34
B) $44
C) $54
D) $64

E) B) and D)
F) B) and C)

Correct Answer

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What is the value of the project assuming an $80 annual cost and the option of not pursing the project in periods where cash flow is negative?


A) $10.86
B) $13.81
C) $33.52
D) $47.33

E) All of the above
F) B) and C)

Correct Answer

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